Is the Curve Flattening in San Francisco?

Is the Curve Flattening in San Francisco? Considering how early we started the shelter-in-place in the SF Bay Area, one would think we would have a slower transmission rate than other regions. Let's look at the recent data:

Yesterday, 3/30, there were 34 new cases of Covid-19, for a total of 374 (See graphs below).

Day before yesterday, 3/29, there were 32 new cases, for a total of 340.

Day before that, 3/28, there were 29 new cases, for a total of 308.

Day before that, 3/27, there were 56 new cases, for a total of 279.

Day before that, 3/26, there were 45 new cases, for a total of 223.

We were doubling every 3-4 days up until March 27, when we saw our highest number of new infections (56). But since then, we’ve had 3 days in a row with closer to 30 new infections per day.

So, have we really flattened the curve? Will this trend hold? Time will tell. One thing to consider is the large number of recent infections at Laguna Honda skilled nursing center. Another thing to consider is that California, as a whole, has done very little testing, and still has 50,000 or so tests pending results. Once those results come in, the total number of cases could skyrocket. One last thing to consider: Santa Clara County, just south of SF, had a spike of 200 new cases between 3/29 and 3/30. Their curve is definitely not flattening, and infections could spill over into SF in the coming weeks.